Minggu, 16 Juli 2017

Adaptasi dalam Perubahan Iklim, efektifkah????

Adaptasi didefinisikan oleh IPCC (2007) secara sederhana sebagai suatu tindakan untuk mengurangi dampak dari perubahan iklim. Tindakan mengurangi dampak ini dapat dilakukan dalam beberapa langkah dan metode. Metode dan langkah tersebut akan coba di tuliskan kembali pada posting berikutnya..

Namun permasalahan ang sering muncul adalah bagaimana mengukur opsi adaptasi yang diambil benar-benar sesuai (menguntungkan?) untuk keadaan dimasa mendatang. dengan banyaknya ketidakpastian di masa yang akan datang tentunya diperlukan metde untuk mengukur tingkat keberhasilan dari opsi tersebut. dalam bidang ekonomi, metode perhitungan Cost/Benefit sering digunakan. demikian juga perhitungan dnegan metode Cost effectiveness. Atau dengan Multi Creteria Analysis ataupun analisis dari pakar. dengan semua metode tersebut tentunya juga masih memberikan keraguan mengingat data yang digunakan untuk perhitungan adalah data masa kini untuk memprediksi masa mendatang. Tentunya bukan salah pada metode2 tersebut namun parameter yang digunakan dalam metode tersebut haruslah memiliki tingkat akurasi prediksi yang tinggi.


  Sehingga masih merupakan suatu pertanyaan besar, seberapa efektifkah opsi adaptasi yang diambil?????


Jumat, 28 September 2012

Hydrology and Water Resources Journal


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